Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | COLO -250 UCLA +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +9 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -6.7 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -5.7 (+3.3) | 137.1 (-6.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -4.5 (+4.5) | 133.2 (-2.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -5.7 (+3.3) | 136.4 (-5.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -5.9 (+3.1) | 137.5 (-6.5) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | UCLA 64 – 60 COLO |
| Mar 9, 2023 | UCLA 80 – 69 COLO |
| Feb 26, 2023 | UCLA 60 – 56 COLO |
| Jan 15, 2023 | UCLA 68 – 54 COLO |
| Jan 23, 2022 | UCLA 71 – 65 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 13-6 |
| Home | 11-1 | 11-1 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 15.3 (#12) | 11.0 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.00 (#47) | 2.30 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.76 (#34) | 2.91 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#29) | 0.609 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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