Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | WOF +130 FUR -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +1 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -2.4 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -0.8 (+1.8) | 141.7 (+5.3) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -0.9 (+1.9) | 140.5 (+6.5) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -0.7 (+1.7) | 141.9 (+5.1) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -0.9 (+1.9) | 141.5 (+5.5) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | FUR 76 – 67 WOF |
| Jan 17, 2026 | WOF 74 – 70 FUR |
| Mar 10, 2025 | WOF 92 – 85 FUR |
| Mar 1, 2025 | FUR 78 – 75 WOF |
| Jan 14, 2025 | WOF 81 – 62 FUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-9 | 16-9 |
| Conference | 12-5 | 10-5 |
| Home | 9-3 | 11-1 |
| Away | 6-4 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#118) | 8.3 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#113) | 0.98 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#113) | 1.33 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#85) | 0.559 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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