Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | ARMY -150 BU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +2 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | ARMY -6.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (-27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -6.0 (-4.0) | 142.5 (-30.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -4.9 (-2.9) | 139.6 (-27.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -5.3 (-3.3) | 142.9 (-30.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -7.0 (-5.0) | 142.7 (-30.7) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | BU 85 – 68 ARMY |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BU 100 – 91 ARMY |
| Jan 18, 2025 | ARMY 68 – 62 BU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | BU 71 – 63 ARMY |
| Feb 14, 2024 | ARMY 65 – 50 BU |
Game Analysis
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