Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | NEB +130 MINN -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +4 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -3.9 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -3.1 (+7.1) | 144.5 (+7.5) | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -2.3 (+6.3) | 146.3 (+5.7) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -3.3 (+7.3) | 145.6 (+6.4) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -2.6 (+6.6) | 143.9 (+8.1) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | NEB 76 – 57 MINN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MINN 67 – 65 NEB |
| Feb 25, 2024 | NEB 73 – 55 MINN |
| Dec 7, 2023 | MINN 76 – 65 NEB |
| Mar 9, 2023 | MINN 78 – 75 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-20 | 14-15 |
| Conference | 3-16 | 6-14 |
| Home | 6-9 | 13-4 |
| Away | 1-10 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#123) | 9.4 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#193) | 1.99 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#183) | 2.89 (#29) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#234) | 0.529 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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