Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | NOLA +180 NICH -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +4 | 206 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -3.9 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (+55.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -3.7 (-0.3) | 148.9 (+57.1) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -2.3 (-1.7) | 150.3 (+55.7) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -4.1 (+0.1) | 154.1 (+51.9) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -3.5 (-0.5) | 150.9 (+55.1) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | NOLA 80 – 62 NICH |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NICH 90 – 77 NOLA |
| Feb 18, 2025 | NICH 78 – 62 NOLA |
| Dec 7, 2024 | NICH 73 – 70 NOLA |
| Feb 20, 2024 | NICH 89 – 77 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-15 | 18-7 |
| Conference | 8-7 | 14-2 |
| Home | 6-3 | 8-1 |
| Away | 2-10 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#287) | -2.2 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.59 (#333) | 0.01 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.27 (#333) | -0.37 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#331) | 0.506 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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