Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | MRST -138 QUIN +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +9 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | MRST -1.8 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.2 (+14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -1.7 (+7.3) | 131.7 (+11.3) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -1.6 (+7.4) | 132.6 (+10.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -2.8 (+6.2) | 134.8 (+8.2) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -1.7 (+7.3) | 132.1 (+10.9) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | MRST 77 – 75 QUIN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MRST 71 – 64 QUIN |
| Dec 29, 2025 | QUIN 64 – 58 MRST |
| Jan 5, 2025 | MRST 69 – 62 QUIN |
| Mar 8, 2024 | QUIN 73 – 64 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-9 | 9-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-10 |
| Home | 6-3 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 1-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.4 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#252) | -4.4 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#181) | -0.82 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#210) | -0.95 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#161) | 0.438 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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