Betting Lines
| Spread | FDU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | SHU +110 FDU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +6 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -1.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.9 (-25.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -2.2 (+3.8) | 158.3 (-24.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -2.1 (+3.9) | 154.3 (-20.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -1.5 (+4.5) | 157.3 (-23.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -1.9 (+4.1) | 158.9 (-24.9) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2024 | SHU 99 – 91 FDU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | FDU 93 – 91 SHU |
| Feb 17, 2023 | SHU 94 – 86 FDU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | SHU 92 – 85 FDU |
| Feb 12, 2022 | FDU 82 – 75 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-9 | 9-15 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 4-3 | 4-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#264) | -5.2 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#179) | -0.53 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#204) | -0.69 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#179) | 0.471 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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