Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | TROY +260 CCU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TROY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +5 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | CCU -6.1 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.4 (+14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -3.6 (-1.4) | 131.8 (+15.2) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -4.8 (-0.2) | 131.7 (+15.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -3.3 (-1.7) | 132.9 (+14.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -3.6 (-1.4) | 132.6 (+14.4) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | TROY 83 – 66 CCU |
| Dec 30, 2023 | TROY 72 – 65 CCU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | TROY 95 – 74 CCU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | CCU 73 – 63 TROY |
| Jan 7, 2022 | TROY 69 – 59 CCU |
Game Analysis
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