Betting Lines
| Spread | EIU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | EIU -800 UTM +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +5 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | EIU -10.0 (-15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -8.5 (-13.5) | 141.7 (-0.7) | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EIU -6.5 (-11.5) | 140.8 (+0.2) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -7.5 (-12.5) | 141.5 (-0.5) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -7.8 (-12.8) | 142.4 (-1.4) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UTM 66 – 63 EIU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UTM 76 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UTM 65 – 61 EIU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UTM 72 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UTM 68 – 63 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-18 | 8-16 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 6-14 |
| Home | 5-7 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#295) | -16.5 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#304) | -1.96 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.37 (#308) | -3.03 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#293) | 0.405 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.8% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 57.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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