Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | SDAK -120 NDSU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +9 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | SDAK -2.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (+15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -2.3 (+6.7) | 137.7 (+13.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -1.0 (+8.0) | 135.0 (+16.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -2.1 (+6.9) | 140.3 (+10.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -1.9 (+7.1) | 139.3 (+11.7) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | NDSU 89 – 84 SDAK |
| Dec 31, 2025 | NDSU 84 – 61 SDAK |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SDAK 85 – 84 NDSU |
| Feb 27, 2025 | NDSU 82 – 78 SDAK |
| Jan 18, 2025 | NDSU 103 – 77 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-11 | 15-12 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 11-5 |
| Home | 7-2 | 6-2 |
| Away | 5-4 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#167) | -0.1 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#216) | -0.63 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#230) | -0.81 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#193) | 0.486 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 79.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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