Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | ARMY -175 BU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +12 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | ARMY -8.8 (-20.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (-1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -7.9 (-19.9) | 143.9 (-5.9) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -6.7 (-18.7) | 140.7 (-2.7) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -7.4 (-19.4) | 143.4 (-5.4) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -8.4 (-20.4) | 144.6 (-6.6) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | BU 85 – 68 ARMY |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BU 100 – 91 ARMY |
| Jan 18, 2025 | ARMY 68 – 62 BU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | BU 71 – 63 ARMY |
| Feb 14, 2024 | ARMY 65 – 50 BU |
Game Analysis
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