Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | BUCK -125 AMER +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMER +7 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | BUCK -3.7 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (+7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -5.4 (-12.4) | 143.5 (+5.5) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -3.4 (-10.4) | 145.5 (+3.5) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -4.1 (-11.1) | 144.7 (+4.3) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -4.5 (-11.5) | 144.3 (+4.7) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | AMER 75 – 57 BUCK |
| Feb 5, 2026 | BUCK 60 – 59 AMER |
| Feb 6, 2025 | BUCK 71 – 49 AMER |
| Jan 11, 2025 | AMER 68 – 58 BUCK |
| Mar 8, 2024 | BUCK 80 – 57 AMER |
Game Analysis
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