Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | GASO -150 APP +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +8 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | APP -1.1 (+9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GASO -0.7 (+7.3) | 137.2 (-15.2) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GASO -0.4 (+7.6) | 135.0 (-13.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GASO -0.3 (+7.7) | 138.4 (-16.4) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GASO -0.4 (+7.6) | 138.0 (-16.0) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | APP 89 – 74 GASO |
| Feb 12, 2026 | APP 81 – 65 GASO |
| Feb 26, 2025 | GASO 61 – 59 APP |
| Feb 20, 2025 | APP 79 – 74 GASO |
| Mar 9, 2024 | APP 85 – 80 GASO |
Game Analysis
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