Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | BRAD +350 DRKE -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +9 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -7.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (+12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -6.2 (-2.8) | 138.9 (+12.1) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -6.4 (-2.6) | 135.2 (+15.8) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -5.3 (-3.7) | 137.0 (+14.0) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -5.7 (-3.3) | 138.5 (+12.5) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | BRAD 87 – 73 DRKE |
| Jan 8, 2026 | BRAD 93 – 66 DRKE |
| Mar 9, 2025 | DRKE 63 – 48 BRAD |
| Feb 16, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 59 DRKE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | DRKE 64 – 57 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-16 | 26-5 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-6 | 14-1 |
| Away | 2-9 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 64.8 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#144) | 10.7 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#202) | 2.52 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#205) | 2.36 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#186) | 0.560 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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