Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | SEA +188 GCU -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +6 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -7.5 (+13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -6.4 (+12.4) | 135.6 (-15.6) | 24% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -5.5 (+11.5) | 135.5 (-15.5) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -6.0 (+12.0) | 136.3 (-16.3) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -6.3 (+12.3) | 135.4 (-15.4) | 25% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2025 | GCU 63 – 60 SEA |
| Jan 31, 2025 | GCU 83 – 74 SEA |
| Mar 16, 2024 | GCU 80 – 72 SEA |
| Feb 2, 2024 | GCU 95 – 88 SEA |
| Jan 21, 2024 | SEA 86 – 79 GCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-11 | 17-7 |
| Conference | 4-5 | 9-3 |
| Home | 6-3 | 10-3 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-1 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 62.8 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#266) | 3.4 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#300) | 0.01 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#278) | 0.36 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.396 (#330) | 0.503 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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