Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | DAV -150 VCU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +8 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -0.9 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (-11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -0.9 (+7.1) | 134.5 (-12.5) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -1.1 (+6.9) | 129.5 (-7.5) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -1.4 (+6.6) | 131.8 (-9.8) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -0.8 (+7.2) | 134.3 (-12.3) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | VCU 75 – 69 DAV |
| Mar 1, 2025 | VCU 80 – 56 DAV |
| Jan 28, 2024 | VCU 63 – 58 DAV |
| Mar 9, 2023 | VCU 71 – 53 DAV |
| Feb 1, 2023 | VCU 61 – 59 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-9 | 19-7 |
| Conference | 7-4 | 10-4 |
| Home | 7-4 | 12-2 |
| Away | 4-2 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 62.8 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#78) | 10.9 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#113) | 2.13 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#90) | 2.63 (#42) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#167) | 0.600 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 24.3% |
| DRB% | 80.1% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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