Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | JXST -150 APSU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +8 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | JXST -5.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -5.0 (+3.0) | 143.5 (-1.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -3.8 (+4.2) | 140.1 (+1.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -5.8 (+2.2) | 144.7 (-2.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -5.2 (+2.8) | 144.9 (-2.9) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2023 | JXST 70 – 53 APSU |
| Jan 23, 2021 | JXST 76 – 70 APSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 13-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 8-3 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-5 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#175) | -3.4 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#162) | -1.06 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#183) | -1.44 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#135) | 0.478 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 36.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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