Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | JXST -275 APSU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +17 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | JXST -5.2 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -3.7 (+13.3) | 133.9 (-10.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -4.2 (+12.8) | 130.2 (-7.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -3.9 (+13.1) | 133.8 (-10.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -4.1 (+12.9) | 132.2 (-9.2) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2021 | JXST 75 – 67 APSU |
| Jan 23, 2021 | JXST 76 – 70 APSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 3-15 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-12 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | W2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 63.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#296) | -8.9 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#291) | -1.54 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#289) | -2.08 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#305) | 0.435 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 29.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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