Betting Lines
| Spread | L-MD -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | L-MD +100 NAVY +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | L-MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAVY +6 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | NAVY -0.6 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (+3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | L-MD -0.9 (-6.9) | 138.4 (+1.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | L-MD -0.2 (-6.2) | 136.2 (+3.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAVY -0.3 (-5.7) | 140.5 (-0.5) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NAVY -0.3 (-5.7) | 139.7 (+0.3) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | NAVY 78 – 51 L-MD |
| Jan 31, 2026 | NAVY 87 – 71 L-MD |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NAVY 81 – 68 L-MD |
| Jan 11, 2025 | L-MD 75 – 74 NAVY |
| Mar 6, 2024 | NAVY 64 – 48 L-MD |
Game Analysis
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