Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | SAC +250 WEB -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +2 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | WEB -10.0 (+8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (-8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -8.4 (+6.4) | 149.0 (-7.0) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -8.3 (+6.3) | 147.1 (-5.1) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -8.4 (+6.4) | 149.3 (-7.3) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -8.8 (+6.8) | 150.1 (-8.1) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | SAC 104 – 90 WEB |
| Jan 4, 2026 | WEB 95 – 82 SAC |
| Mar 9, 2025 | WEB 83 – 70 SAC |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SAC 80 – 77 WEB |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WEB 87 – 81 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-12 | 17-6 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 12-3 |
| Home | 5-3 | 11-0 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 79.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#267) | 5.9 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#288) | 0.23 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.03 (#299) | 0.26 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#231) | 0.547 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 50.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 57.5% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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