Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | CLEM -1000 MIA +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +8 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -13.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -12.1 (-4.1) | 131.0 (-7.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -9.5 (-1.5) | 131.9 (-7.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -12.5 (-4.5) | 131.8 (-7.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -13.2 (-5.2) | 130.9 (-6.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | CLEM 69 – 59 MIA |
| Dec 7, 2024 | CLEM 65 – 55 MIA |
| Feb 15, 2024 | CLEM 77 – 60 MIA |
| Jan 4, 2024 | MIA 95 – 82 CLEM |
| Feb 4, 2023 | MIA 78 – 74 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-8 | 10-17 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 4-15 |
| Home | 11-1 | 7-8 |
| Away | 2-5 | 1-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.9 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#44) | 0.0 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.66 (#17) | -0.02 (#170) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.17 (#22) | 0.02 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.622 (#10) | 0.458 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 14.2% |
Game Analysis
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