Betting Lines
| Spread | STET -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | STET -225 UNF +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +17 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | STET -3.8 (+13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STET -3.8 (+13.2) | 148.2 (+4.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -3.7 (+13.3) | 145.9 (+7.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STET -3.6 (+13.4) | 145.9 (+7.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STET -3.9 (+13.1) | 150.2 (+2.8) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | STET 76 – 71 UNF |
| Jan 30, 2026 | STET 84 – 77 UNF |
| Feb 19, 2025 | UNF 79 – 71 STET |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UNF 101 – 100 STET |
| Mar 2, 2024 | UNF 78 – 59 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-15 | 8-15 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 6-6 |
| Home | 7-5 | 5-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#270) | -8.1 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#286) | -1.41 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#267) | -1.60 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#284) | 0.442 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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