Betting Lines
| Spread | USU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | USU -400 NEV +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USU +3 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | USU -8.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USU -7.1 (-4.1) | 143.5 (+3.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USU -6.8 (-3.8) | 141.5 (+5.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USU -7.1 (-4.1) | 144.4 (+2.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USU -7.7 (-4.7) | 142.4 (+4.6) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | USU 79 – 66 NEV |
| Feb 22, 2026 | NEV 80 – 77 USU |
| Jan 15, 2026 | USU 71 – 62 NEV |
| Jan 23, 2025 | USU 90 – 69 NEV |
| Jan 1, 2025 | USU 69 – 64 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USU | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-9 | 16-10 |
| Conference | 15-4 | 10-7 |
| Home | 10-2 | 10-2 |
| Away | 7-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.3 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#43) | 4.6 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#77) | 0.91 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#82) | 0.99 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#68) | 0.534 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USU | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 79.1% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.