Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | SLU -188 RICH +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +5 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -3.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -3.4 (+1.6) | 142.4 (-3.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -2.9 (+2.1) | 137.3 (+1.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -3.4 (+1.6) | 142.5 (-3.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -3.4 (+1.6) | 142.4 (-3.4) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | SLU 88 – 63 RICH |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SLU 63 – 59 RICH |
| Feb 29, 2024 | RICH 80 – 64 SLU |
| Feb 22, 2023 | RICH 81 – 78 SLU |
| Feb 26, 2022 | RICH 68 – 66 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-7 | 14-9 |
| Conference | 6-4 | 6-5 |
| Home | 12-1 | 6-4 |
| Away | 1-4 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#40) | 9.8 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#81) | 1.79 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#75) | 2.35 (#57) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#118) | 0.583 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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