Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | TTU -150 TEX +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +9 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -3.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -2.9 (+6.1) | 139.8 (-12.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -2.5 (+6.5) | 135.7 (-8.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -3.2 (+5.8) | 139.9 (-12.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -3.0 (+6.0) | 140.0 (-13.0) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2024 | TEX 81 – 69 TTU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | TTU 78 – 67 TEX |
| Feb 14, 2023 | TTU 74 – 67 TEX |
| Jan 15, 2023 | TEX 72 – 70 TTU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | TTU 61 – 55 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-11 | 19-8 |
| Conference | 9-8 | 11-6 |
| Home | 11-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-4 | 6-2 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.2 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 14.3 (#19) | 13.5 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.38 (#25) | 2.80 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.90 (#27) | 3.77 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#59) | 0.610 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.