Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | HAW -280 LBSU +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +2 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | HAW -11.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (-0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -9.1 (-7.1) | 150.1 (+3.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -8.6 (-6.6) | 150.3 (+3.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -10.1 (-8.1) | 149.3 (+4.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -9.1 (-7.1) | 150.3 (+3.7) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | LBSU 84 – 75 HAW |
| Jan 31, 2026 | HAW 89 – 82 LBSU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | HAW 62 – 60 LBSU |
| Dec 7, 2024 | LBSU 76 – 68 HAW |
| Feb 25, 2024 | HAW 73 – 65 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-10 | 6-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-8 |
| Home | 7-5 | 4-3 |
| Away | 4-4 | 1-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#185) | -10.7 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#209) | -0.90 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#217) | -1.58 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#232) | 0.436 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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