Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | UTSA +160 UAB -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +7 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -5.8 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-24.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -2.6 (-4.4) | 146.2 (-25.2) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -2.4 (-4.6) | 143.6 (-22.6) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -2.6 (-4.4) | 146.7 (-25.7) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -3.3 (-3.7) | 146.2 (-25.2) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | UAB 83 – 73 UTSA |
| Jan 22, 2025 | UAB 81 – 78 UTSA |
| Jan 3, 2024 | UAB 78 – 76 UTSA |
| Feb 18, 2023 | UAB 83 – 78 UTSA |
| Dec 31, 2022 | UAB 90 – 67 UTSA |
Game Analysis
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