Betting Lines
| Spread | UCD -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | CP +250 UCD -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCD +2 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | UCD -7.4 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCD -5.8 (+3.8) | 137.0 (-3.0) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCD -6.2 (+4.2) | 137.3 (-3.3) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCD -6.0 (+4.0) | 139.1 (-5.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCD -6.1 (+4.1) | 137.7 (-3.7) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UCD 67 – 58 CP |
| Jan 10, 2026 | CP 84 – 78 UCD |
| Mar 13, 2025 | CP 86 – 76 UCD |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UCD 65 – 54 CP |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UCD 77 – 66 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-20 | 10-8 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 6-4 |
| Home | 3-8 | 4-3 |
| Away | 0-11 | 4-3 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.8 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -15.1 (#339) | -5.4 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.44 (#327) | -0.44 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.13 (#329) | -0.95 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.347 (#345) | 0.478 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.7% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.0% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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