Betting Lines
| Spread | HART -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | HART -300 BING +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HART +17 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | HART -8.5 (+8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.9 (+4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HART -6.1 (+10.9) | 133.1 (+3.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HART -6.0 (+11.0) | 133.2 (+3.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HART -5.3 (+11.7) | 132.5 (+4.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HART -6.2 (+10.8) | 131.3 (+5.7) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2022 | HART 72 – 60 BING |
| Jan 25, 2022 | BING 74 – 64 HART |
| Jan 3, 2021 | HART 77 – 74 BING |
| Jan 2, 2021 | HART 76 – 56 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HART | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-9 | 4-14 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 4-10 |
| Home | 10-1 | 1-9 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-5 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.9 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#195) | -8.3 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#194) | -1.80 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#197) | -1.89 (#291) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#163) | 0.428 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HART | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.1% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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