Betting Lines
| Spread | HART -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HART +12 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | HART -2.1 (+9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HART -1.6 (+10.4) | 138.9 (-6.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HART -0.4 (+11.6) | 141.5 (-9.5) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HART -0.3 (+11.7) | 141.5 (-9.5) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BING -0.2 (+12.2) | 140.0 (-8.0) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2022 | BING 74 – 64 HART |
| Feb 27, 2021 | HART 77 – 60 BING |
| Jan 3, 2021 | HART 77 – 74 BING |
| Jan 2, 2021 | HART 76 – 56 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HART | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 12-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-5 | 5-8 |
| Away | 5-13 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#302) | -6.6 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.31 (#332) | -1.31 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.82 (#331) | -1.70 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#321) | 0.437 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HART | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 21.8% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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