Betting Lines
| Spread | HART -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | BING +140 HART -160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BING win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BING +10 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | BING -3.6 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (-6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BING -1.4 (+8.6) | 139.8 (-1.8) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BING -2.8 (+7.2) | 143.6 (-5.6) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BING -2.8 (+7.2) | 144.5 (-6.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BING -2.9 (+7.1) | 141.8 (-3.8) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2022 | HART 72 – 60 BING |
| Feb 27, 2021 | HART 77 – 60 BING |
| Jan 3, 2021 | HART 77 – 74 BING |
| Jan 2, 2021 | HART 76 – 56 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BING | HART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-17 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 5-8 | 7-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#291) | -7.4 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#292) | -2.17 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#294) | -2.66 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#285) | 0.413 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BING | HART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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