Betting Lines
| Spread | HART -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | HART -330 BING +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HART +20 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | HART -7.0 (+13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HART -4.2 (+15.8) | 130.1 (+1.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HART -5.2 (+14.8) | 131.0 (+1.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HART -5.0 (+15.0) | 132.2 (-0.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HART -4.8 (+15.2) | 131.1 (+0.9) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2022 | HART 72 – 60 BING |
| Jan 25, 2022 | BING 74 – 64 HART |
| Feb 27, 2021 | HART 77 – 60 BING |
| Jan 3, 2021 | HART 77 – 74 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HART | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-9 | 4-14 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 4-10 |
| Home | 10-1 | 1-9 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-5 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.9 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#218) | -6.9 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#212) | -1.38 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#195) | -1.64 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#244) | 0.435 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HART | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 13.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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