I don't know why I let that mean woman make me a fool. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Hartford Hawks
77 – 74
FINAL Conference
Binghamton Bearcats
America East Conference · Chase Arena · January 3, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread HART -7.5 Away covered
O/U 131.5 Over
Money HART -350 / BING +290
Model Predictions
Spread Total HART win
Actual HART +3 151 Won
Massey HART -10.8 (-7.8) — —
Massey Totals — 131.5 (+19.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 90% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ HART -7.9 (-4.9) 130.6 (+20.4) 78% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML HART -8.9 (-5.9) 130.6 (+20.4) 81% ✓
Baseline ML HART -9.0 (-6.0) 131.1 (+19.9) 80% ✓
Baseline Plus ML HART -9.5 (-6.5) 130.7 (+20.3) 81% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 27, 2022 HART 72 – 60 BING
Jan 25, 2022 BING 74 – 64 HART
Feb 27, 2021 HART 77 – 60 BING
Jan 2, 2021 HART 76 – 56 BING

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HART BING
Overall 15-9 4-14
Conference 8-6 4-10
Home 10-1 1-9
Away 5-6 3-5
Neutral 0-2 0-0
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 65.4 65.4
Avg Pts Against 63.9 72.3
Massey -1.8 (#194) -9.1 (#295)
Bradley-Terry -0.25 (#185) -1.83 (#290)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.25 (#182) -2.36 (#285)
RPI 0.477 (#195) 0.418 (#269)
Shooting & Four Factors HART BING
FG% 41.6% 40.0%
3PT% 34.6% 35.9%
REB / G 34.5 37.0
OREB / G 9.0 10.9
AST / TO 0.77 0.78
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.0% 48.5%
TOV% 19.3% 22.2%
ORB% 25.8% 28.5%
FT Rate 20.1% 13.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.8% 52.7%
Opp TOV% 20.7% 17.2%
DRB% 72.6% 75.7%
Opp FT Rate 15.0% 20.8%

Game Analysis

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