Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | NWST -150 SELA +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +18 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | NWST -3.8 (+14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -3.5 (+14.5) | 148.7 (-8.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -2.5 (+15.5) | 146.4 (-6.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -3.6 (+14.4) | 149.3 (-9.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -3.6 (+14.4) | 149.7 (-9.7) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NWST 69 – 66 SELA |
| Dec 7, 2025 | NWST 76 – 68 SELA |
| Feb 25, 2025 | NWST 72 – 69 SELA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SELA 65 – 64 NWST |
| Feb 10, 2024 | SELA 69 – 59 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 8-18 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 5-10 |
| Home | 6-4 | 3-4 |
| Away | 4-12 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.0 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#314) | -12.3 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#317) | -2.12 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.02 (#325) | -3.11 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#260) | 0.436 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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