Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
| Money | TXST -450 ULM +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +4 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | TXST -9.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXST -9.6 (-5.6) | 128.2 (-10.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -9.0 (-5.0) | 124.7 (-6.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -9.9 (-5.9) | 127.3 (-9.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXST -9.6 (-5.6) | 126.2 (-8.2) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TXST 95 – 84 ULM |
| Jan 3, 2026 | TXST 84 – 79 ULM |
| Feb 20, 2025 | TXST 80 – 63 ULM |
| Feb 14, 2025 | TXST 72 – 60 ULM |
| Feb 28, 2024 | TXST 73 – 55 ULM |
Game Analysis
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