Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | IU +300 MICH -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +16 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | MICH -6.8 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -4.7 (-11.3) | 142.4 (-12.4) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -3.6 (-12.4) | 139.5 (-9.5) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -4.0 (-12.0) | 142.2 (-12.2) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -3.7 (-12.3) | 141.2 (-11.2) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | MICH 86 – 72 IU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | MICH 70 – 67 IU |
| Dec 6, 2023 | IU 78 – 75 MICH |
| Mar 5, 2023 | IU 75 – 73 MICH |
| Feb 11, 2023 | IU 62 – 61 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-15 | 23-5 |
| Conference | 7-12 | 14-3 |
| Home | 6-6 | 13-1 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-2 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 65.1 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#35) | 20.8 (#3) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#53) | 4.44 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#33) | 5.59 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#109) | 0.658 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 44.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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