Betting Lines
| Spread | UL -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | LR +110 UL +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LR +10 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | LR -1.1 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (-21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LR -1.6 (+8.4) | 141.0 (-13.0) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LR -1.3 (+8.7) | 144.6 (-16.6) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LR -0.8 (+9.2) | 145.3 (-17.3) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LR -1.2 (+8.8) | 143.2 (-15.2) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2022 | UL 75 – 51 LR |
| Feb 27, 2021 | UL 66 – 61 LR |
| Jan 9, 2021 | LR 78 – 76 UL |
| Jan 9, 2021 | UL 66 – 64 LR |
Game Analysis
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