Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
| Money | UL +100 LR -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UL +2 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | LR -4.2 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (-22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LR -0.7 (+2.7) | 145.2 (-15.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LR -0.0 (+2.0) | 146.7 (-16.7) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LR -0.6 (+2.6) | 148.6 (-18.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UL -1.6 (+0.4) | 145.9 (-15.9) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2022 | UL 75 – 51 LR |
| Feb 27, 2021 | LR 69 – 59 UL |
| Feb 27, 2021 | UL 66 – 61 LR |
| Jan 9, 2021 | LR 78 – 76 UL |
Game Analysis
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