Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
Jack Stephens Center · February 27, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread LR -1.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Under
Money LR -110 / UL +120
Model Predictions
Spread Total LR win
Actual UL +5 127 Lost
Massey LR -1.1 (-6.1) — —
Massey Totals — 149.2 (-22.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 39% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 43% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LR -1.7 (-6.7) 141.9 (-14.9) 58% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML LR -1.4 (-6.4) 146.4 (-19.4) 57% ✗
Baseline ML LR -0.9 (-5.9) 146.4 (-19.4) 58% ✗
Baseline Plus ML LR -1.2 (-6.2) 144.0 (-17.0) 59% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 3, 2022 UL 75 – 51 LR
Feb 27, 2021 LR 69 – 59 UL
Jan 9, 2021 LR 78 – 76 UL
Jan 9, 2021 UL 66 – 64 LR

Game Analysis

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