Betting Lines
| Spread | UL -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | LR +250 UL -320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UL +24 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | UL -5.3 (-18.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UL -5.8 (-18.2) | 141.4 (-15.4) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UL -3.9 (-20.1) | 143.5 (-17.5) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UL -4.4 (-19.6) | 143.3 (-17.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UL -4.0 (-20.0) | 142.9 (-16.9) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2021 | LR 69 – 59 UL |
| Feb 27, 2021 | UL 66 – 61 LR |
| Jan 9, 2021 | LR 78 – 76 UL |
| Jan 9, 2021 | UL 66 – 64 LR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LR | UL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-19 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 8-9 |
| Home | 6-7 | 7-6 |
| Away | 1-10 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.1 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#316) | -0.9 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#250) | -0.36 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#256) | -0.20 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#284) | 0.480 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LR | UL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.8% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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