Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | UGA -188 SC +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +21 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | UGA -5.3 (-26.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -6.0 (-27.0) | 159.7 (+1.3) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -4.2 (-25.2) | 156.5 (+4.5) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -5.7 (-26.7) | 159.1 (+1.9) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -6.5 (-27.5) | 160.5 (+0.5) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UGA 87 – 68 SC |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UGA 75 – 70 SC |
| Mar 4, 2025 | UGA 73 – 64 SC |
| Jan 29, 2025 | UGA 71 – 60 SC |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SC 72 – 62 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-12 | 6-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-12 |
| Home | 12-5 | 3-6 |
| Away | 2-6 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#88) | 3.1 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#68) | 0.26 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#74) | 0.58 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#104) | 0.497 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 31.3% |
Game Analysis
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