Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Over |
| Money | ORU -450 WIU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +4 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -11.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -9.5 (-5.5) | 158.7 (+7.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -8.7 (-4.7) | 159.1 (+6.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -10.2 (-6.2) | 160.4 (+5.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -9.4 (-5.4) | 159.8 (+6.2) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2023 | ORU 82 – 73 WIU |
| Jan 13, 2023 | ORU 87 – 63 WIU |
| Mar 7, 2022 | ORU 80 – 68 WIU |
| Feb 4, 2022 | WIU 90 – 85 ORU |
| Jan 8, 2022 | ORU 87 – 86 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-11 | 7-15 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 5-9 |
| Home | 8-3 | 2-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 80.5 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#178) | -9.2 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#251) | -2.05 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#240) | -2.55 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#142) | 0.395 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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