Betting Lines
| Spread | DEN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | DEN -110 OMA +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +4 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | OMA -1.4 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -0.9 (-3.1) | 144.5 (+11.5) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OMA -1.2 (-2.8) | 145.3 (+10.7) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OMA -1.3 (-2.7) | 147.4 (+8.6) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OMA -1.3 (-2.7) | 147.5 (+8.5) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | OMA 83 – 76 DEN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | OMA 84 – 82 DEN |
| Feb 2, 2025 | OMA 78 – 69 DEN |
| Jan 16, 2025 | OMA 80 – 62 DEN |
| Mar 12, 2024 | DEN 66 – 63 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEN | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-19 | 5-20 |
| Conference | 1-13 | 3-11 |
| Home | 2-10 | 1-5 |
| Away | 0-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 78.0 |
| Massey | -14.7 (#337) | -10.9 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.09 (#346) | -2.64 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.00 (#344) | -3.50 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.321 (#349) | 0.409 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEN | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 29.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.4% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.3% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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