Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | SDST -450 KC +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +18 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | SDST -9.0 (+9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (-18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -6.9 (+11.1) | 137.5 (-21.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -7.8 (+10.2) | 133.9 (-17.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -8.8 (+9.2) | 136.8 (-20.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -8.3 (+9.7) | 137.8 (-21.8) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | SDST 73 – 59 KC |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SDST 90 – 62 KC |
| Feb 23, 2025 | SDST 70 – 65 KC |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SDST 65 – 64 KC |
| Feb 16, 2024 | KC 72 – 67 SDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-7 | 11-13 |
| Conference | 9-3 | 7-7 |
| Home | 8-1 | 8-3 |
| Away | 4-2 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 64.6 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#123) | -3.5 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#151) | -1.53 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#168) | -1.85 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#98) | 0.431 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 40.7% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 29.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 78.2% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 36.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.