Betting Lines
| Spread | GT -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | GT -200 SYR +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +7 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | GT -3.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GT -4.6 (+2.4) | 145.7 (+15.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GT -3.1 (+3.9) | 147.9 (+13.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -4.5 (+2.5) | 148.2 (+12.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GT -4.6 (+2.4) | 146.3 (+14.7) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | SYR 82 – 72 GT |
| Jan 8, 2025 | SYR 62 – 55 GT |
| Feb 17, 2024 | GT 65 – 60 SYR |
| Mar 1, 2023 | GT 96 – 76 SYR |
| Jan 21, 2023 | SYR 80 – 63 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-9 | 18-10 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 9-7 |
| Home | 11-3 | 13-1 |
| Away | 4-5 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#42) | 10.0 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#58) | 1.53 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#50) | 2.02 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#101) | 0.566 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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