Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | GT +120 SYR -142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +10 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | SYR -0.5 (-9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (+10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GT -1.0 (-11.0) | 140.1 (+13.9) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GT -0.6 (-10.6) | 142.8 (+11.2) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -0.8 (-10.8) | 142.7 (+11.3) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GT -1.1 (-11.1) | 140.0 (+14.0) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2025 | SYR 62 – 55 GT |
| Feb 17, 2024 | GT 65 – 60 SYR |
| Mar 1, 2023 | GT 96 – 76 SYR |
| Jan 21, 2023 | SYR 80 – 63 GT |
| Feb 22, 2022 | SYR 74 – 73 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-9 | 12-6 |
| Away | 1-9 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L12 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#123) | 7.2 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#160) | 0.84 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#177) | 1.52 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#144) | 0.505 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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