Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | GT +138 SYR -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +17 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | GT -0.4 (-17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -0.1 (-17.1) | 144.1 (-1.1) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -0.9 (-16.1) | 144.2 (-1.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GT -0.3 (-17.3) | 143.4 (-0.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -0.1 (-16.9) | 142.5 (+0.5) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | SYR 82 – 72 GT |
| Jan 8, 2025 | SYR 62 – 55 GT |
| Feb 17, 2024 | GT 65 – 60 SYR |
| Mar 1, 2023 | GT 96 – 76 SYR |
| Feb 22, 2022 | SYR 74 – 73 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-6 | 11-7 |
| Away | 3-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#147) | 4.5 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#154) | 0.79 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#148) | 1.17 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#165) | 0.544 (#100) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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