Really don't mind if you sit this one out. "Thick as a Brick" - Jethro Tull
Atlantic Coast Conference · JMA Wireless Dome · March 1, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SYR -8.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Over
Money SYR -500 / GT +333
Model Predictions
Spread Total SYR win
Actual GT +20 172 Lost
Massey SYR -8.4 (-28.4)
Massey Totals 140.8 (+31.2)
Bradley-Terry 82%
Weighted B-T 87%
Baseline Plus ML SYR -7.0 (-27.0) 146.9 (+25.1) 77%
Model 4 ML SYR -7.7 (-27.7) 147.1 (+24.9) 76%
Model 3 ML SYR -6.6 (-26.6) 145.3 (+26.7) 76%
Baseline ML SYR -6.7 (-26.7) 146.4 (+25.6) 77%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 7, 2026 SYR 8272 GT
Jan 8, 2025 SYR 6255 GT
Feb 17, 2024 GT 6560 SYR
Jan 21, 2023 SYR 8063 GT
Feb 22, 2022 SYR 7473 GT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SYR GT
Overall 17-15 15-18
Conference 10-10 6-14
Home 11-7 11-6
Away 5-6 3-9
Neutral 1-2 1-3
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.1 68.7
Avg Pts Against 72.9 71.5
Massey 3.8 (#111) -1.0 (#192)
Bradley-Terry 0.82 (#102) -0.09 (#179)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.12 (#97) -0.04 (#174)
RPI 0.525 (#131) 0.476 (#228)
Shooting & Four Factors SYR GT
FG% 46.6% 41.6%
3PT% 36.5% 32.7%
REB / G 34.6 34.6
OREB / G 10.0 10.2
AST / TO 1.23 1.20
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.0% 47.7%
TOV% 16.9% 16.3%
ORB% 30.0% 27.9%
FT Rate 22.6% 16.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.8% 49.7%
Opp TOV% 18.8% 16.1%
DRB% 65.8% 69.3%
Opp FT Rate 15.4% 21.9%

Game Analysis

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