The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
Atlantic Coast Conference · JMA Wireless Dome · March 1, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SYR -8.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Over
Money SYR -500 / GT +333
Model Predictions
Spread Total SYR win
Actual GT +20 172 Lost
Massey SYR -8.4 (-28.4) — —
Massey Totals — 140.8 (+31.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 82% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 87% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML SYR -6.6 (-26.6) 145.3 (+26.7) 76% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SYR -7.7 (-27.7) 147.1 (+24.9) 76% ✗
Baseline Plus ML SYR -7.0 (-27.0) 146.9 (+25.1) 77% ✗
Baseline ML SYR -6.7 (-26.7) 146.4 (+25.6) 77% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 7, 2026 SYR 82 – 72 GT
Jan 8, 2025 SYR 62 – 55 GT
Feb 17, 2024 GT 65 – 60 SYR
Jan 21, 2023 SYR 80 – 63 GT
Feb 22, 2022 SYR 74 – 73 GT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SYR GT
Overall 17-15 15-18
Conference 10-10 6-14
Home 11-7 11-6
Away 5-6 3-9
Neutral 1-2 1-3
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.1 68.7
Avg Pts Against 72.9 71.5
Massey 3.8 (#111) -1.0 (#192)
Bradley-Terry 0.82 (#102) -0.09 (#179)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.12 (#97) -0.04 (#174)
RPI 0.525 (#131) 0.476 (#228)
Shooting & Four Factors SYR GT
FG% 46.6% 41.6%
3PT% 36.5% 32.7%
REB / G 34.6 34.6
OREB / G 10.0 10.2
AST / TO 1.23 1.20
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.0% 47.7%
TOV% 16.9% 16.3%
ORB% 30.0% 27.9%
FT Rate 22.6% 16.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.8% 49.7%
Opp TOV% 18.8% 16.1%
DRB% 65.8% 69.3%
Opp FT Rate 15.4% 21.9%

Game Analysis

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