Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | OU -225 OKST +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +4 | 184 | Lost |
| Massey | OU -4.7 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+39.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -4.3 (-8.3) | 141.2 (+42.8) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -3.3 (-7.3) | 141.3 (+42.7) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -4.6 (-8.6) | 143.6 (+40.4) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OU -4.7 (-8.7) | 140.7 (+43.3) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | OU 85 – 76 OKST |
| Dec 15, 2024 | OU 80 – 65 OKST |
| Feb 24, 2024 | OU 84 – 82 OKST |
| Feb 11, 2024 | OU 66 – 62 OKST |
| Mar 9, 2023 | OKST 57 – 49 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-11 | 21-9 |
| Conference | 9-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-3 | 10-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 12.9 (#30) | 10.6 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.67 (#15) | 2.72 (#13) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.86 (#31) | 3.55 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#25) | 0.604 (#23) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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