What have I done? "Police On My Back" - The Clash
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–15 on winners spread MAE 7.9 49 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Santa Clara @ Gonzaga +21.1 157.4 90% 75–89 ✓
Iowa @ Michigan +3.1 153.2 70% 57–79 ✓
Nebraska @ Illinois +14.7 148.6 89% 70–86 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Houston +13.1 135.4 86% 57–81 ✓
Robert Morris @ Detroit Mercy +9.8 149.1 86% 73–83 ✓
Florida A&M @ South Carolina State -8.0 136.5 17% 75–67 ✓
Washington @ Arizona State +7.9 152.1 81% 72–80 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Saint Francis -1.5 128.7 39% 72–65 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Sacred Heart +2.9 153.8 61% 82–69 ✗
Long Island University @ Bryant +6.2 154.3 72% 80–87 ✓
Wagner @ Central Connecticut -6.9 137.0 24% 83–63 ✓
Tennessee State @ Morehead State +11.4 133.4 85% 60–74 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Prairie View A&M +22.6 147.0 90% 62–82 ✓
UIC @ Youngstown State +4.6 141.6 76% 58–74 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Green Bay +4.0 142.9 68% 89–84 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Milwaukee +2.6 149.8 60% 72–84 ✓
UCLA @ Utah -1.4 133.0 44% 76–61 ✓
Belmont @ Eastern Kentucky -2.4 156.6 48% 67–81 ✗
Weber State @ Sacramento State -8.2 147.2 22% 82–73 ✓
Murray State @ Jacksonville State +0.9 135.0 53% 74–87 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Eastern Illinois +0.1 142.2 52% 94–88 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Texas Southern +13.8 141.7 88% 65–79 ✓
Portland State @ Northern Colorado -1.0 133.7 43% 64–66 ✗
Ohio State @ Michigan State -5.4 143.1 37% 67–71 ✗
USC @ Colorado +1.4 132.5 67% 62–80 ✓
Boise State @ San Diego State +5.0 134.2 76% 66–78 ✓
San Francisco @ BYU +9.3 144.3 86% 73–79 ✓
Oregon @ Stanford +0.2 136.9 48% 71–68 ✗
Northwestern @ Minnesota +4.7 144.4 72% 67–59 ✗
Austin Peay @ Tennessee Tech -5.9 141.4 31% 76–81 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ Pepperdine +1.0 142.1 56% 81–74 ✗
Montana @ Idaho State -1.0 130.1 33% 64–58 ✓
Oregon State @ California -0.4 129.5 44% 59–57 ✓
Pacific @ Saint Mary's +4.6 128.7 68% 46–58 ✓
Washington State @ Arizona +6.4 140.9 77% 53–69 ✓
North Florida @ Stetson +4.0 144.3 68% 79–74 ✗
Rider @ Saint Peter's +8.1 131.7 76% 52–66 ✓
Tulane @ Cincinnati +3.2 133.4 66% 71–91 ✓
Wagner @ Central Connecticut -6.9 138.0 23% 77–83 ✗
Long Island University @ Bryant +6.2 154.5 72% 60–63 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Merrimack +2.9 143.3 62% 67–75 ✓
Drexel @ James Madison +3.0 139.3 68% 84–78 ✗
Manhattan @ Siena +7.4 131.6 79% 69–74 ✓
UL Monroe @ Texas State +8.9 125.4 78% 49–58 ✓
UC Davis @ Cal Poly -6.7 136.5 23% 69–61 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Kennesaw State -5.5 135.9 36% 63–80 ✗
George Washington @ St. Bonaventure +12.4 139.6 85% 41–88 ✓
Omaha @ Denver -1.2 144.9 34% 80–76 ✓
App State @ Georgia Southern +0.4 131.3 48% 84–78 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.